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Bitcoin’s Big Peak: June Or September 2025? Key Cycle Dates To Watch

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  • Bitcoin’s potential peak is forecast for June or September 2025, based on historical cycle patterns and market trends.
  • Key dates in mid-to-late 2025 mark a potential high for Bitcoin, with analysts watching closely for confirmation signals.
  • Investors monitor Bitcoin’s progress as the crypto approaches critical cycle markers, with Fib 1 levels as a key guide.

The potential cycle peak for Bitcoin is expected to be in mid to late 2025, with June and September being critical months. In a recent X post, Egarg Crypto highlighted that historical analysis indicates that these dates, derived from the Bitcoin’s trend, are likely to be the high point of the cryptocurrency.

The previous cycle highs for BTC were plotted by calculating the number of days it took to reach each peak after closing a “full-body” candle above the Fibonacci 1 level. The BTC market, in its first cycle, took 245 days to reach its pinnacle. The second cycle was 214 days; the third cycle that occurred in November 2021 was 335 days long, so while there is variation in time, there remains a pattern. 

Bitcoin’s Next Move

The average of these cycles gives us a period of around 265 days, which if Bitcoin reached a full-body close above Fib 1, would imply a probable peak somewhere around June 2025. Should this cycle then follow the longer third cycle of 335 days. However, the anticipated peak would go up to September 2025 only. These dates should help gauge what might be the next big move of cryptocurrency.

Many investors are watching how BTC approaches these levels as a close above the Fib 1 marker would support this timeframe. These dates are not set in stone and may change a bit if BTC’s movement differs from the expected pattern, so the market should remain vigilant and patient, waiting for the confirmation of the top of the expected cycle.

Since each of BTC’s previous cycles has been similar in duration, many investors have their sights set on these dates as a way of establishing targets. It is the mid-to-late 2025 that is capturing the imagination as traders contemplate how to navigate the BTC bull and bear cycles. Now, June and September 2025 have become the key dates in the crypto calendar.

Path to Bitcoin’s Peak

When Bitcoin is close to these dates it would be important to monitor its performance against Fib 1. This approach has given the crypto community a data-driven timeline that could help steer them as they ready themselves for Bitcoin’s next big move. As of writing BTC has been trading at $67,106, down by 1.05% over the past day.

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Source: TradingView

The analysis also shows that one has to be careful since the timeline may change depending on the market situation. In the future, these dates may be significant and show that as Bitcoin continues to advance, there could be a large peak in the crypto market.

Bitcoin’s Market Cycles: Understanding the 4 Stages and Key Influences

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The behavior of Bitcoin’s value during the 2023-2024 market cycle can be divided into four phases. Daan Crypto Trades highlighted in a recent post on X that these stages consist of two rallies and two consolidation periods with the second phase of each stage longer than the first. This pattern makes it easier to describe the nature of cryptocurrency and its trends, since the latter are usually quite random. 

Bitcoin’s Four Stages of the Cycle

The first rally was from January to April of 2023 which was characterized by a strong rebound in the price of Bitcoin, this was followed by a period of trading range bound till September of 2023. The market then experienced the second phase of rallying from September 2023 to March 2024 and after that the market entered into the consolidation phase which began from March 2024. 

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Daan Crypto points out that the first two phases of the rally and consolidation were relatively quick while the other two phases have lasted longer and are now the same. This observation points to one of the most important aspects of the Bitcoin market cycle. The majority of the profits are usually made within a few months while the consolidation phases can take longer and may give the traders a lot of confusion. 

The analysis is based on the idea that it is difficult to determine when to enter or exit the Bitcoin market. Those who come into the market with the intention of buying and selling with an intention of making a quick profit may not get it right with quick and powerful bull runs. 

On the other hand those who enter or trade early in anticipation of a big move may end up being caught in the chop zone where prices are ranged and may lead to a loss. Consequently, spot trading should be preferred because of the numerous risks that are associated with leveraged trading and are suitable for most investors to hold their positions. 

Bitcoin’s September Performance 

Ash Crypto also shared some insights about the movement of Bitcoin in September noting that the currency oscillated between $46,000 and $70,000. Bitcoin closed the month at $58,975 after having risen by 8% in the week. This is the 75% correction, the lowest close since the end of the last year, six months ago. This is even when the U. S stock market was trading near its record high levels suggesting that there might be a separation between the price of Bitcoin and the equity market. 

Historically September has been a red month for Bitcoin where we can observe negative returns for six out of seven years. The biggest change was recorded in 2019 when the decrease was 13% and the only growth was recorded in 2023 and when it was 4%. 

Key Events to Watch 

Some of the possible events that could influence the market trend of Bitcoin are the US election that is scheduled for November 5, FOMC meetings, monthly CPI data release and job reports. Similarly, the level of M2 money supply would be monitored for any indications of market direction changes. 

 As Bitcoin continues to go through these many market cycles, these lessons could be useful for traders and investors. Realizing these phases and factors would certainly be helpful in the decision making process if one is to transpose into the world of cryptocurrencies. 

Bitcoin Market Braces for Major Price Surge Amid Growing Self-Custody Trend

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Bitcoin is in a critical point as trading signs point to a large price shift soon. Mikuybull highlighted the possibility of BTC to achieve the price level of $111 thousand by Q4. He anticipated that the last logarithmic band could take the price of a Bitcoin to an astounding $215,000.

Further fueling the anticipation, data from the reputable platform CryptoQuant showed that Bitcoin exchange reserves are at their lowest this year. This kind of reserve decline is usually considered as being bullish given that it means lower levels of selling pressure. When the number of Bitcoins is low on stock exchanges, their supply decreases and this in turn leads to a higher price given the increasing demand.

The decline in exchange reserves also attests to another emerging trend in the crypto space: more and more people are deciding to keep BTC in cold wallets instead of exchanges. Increased self-custody therefore demonstrates the desire of investors to have full control over their assets given the risks of hacks on centralized exchanges. By moving their funds in this manner, these investors withdraw BTC from exchanges which may lead to even higher prices, in line with the above prediction.

Long-Term Bitcoin Holding

Furthermore, such an approach of holding Bitcoin for the long term could bring about stability to the market. Whenever buyers move their coins into cold storage, it markets a message of intent that they wish to hold for long expecting a yield eventually. This behavior minimizes the chances of a herd like situation where the prices drop by a significant level due to everyone trying to sell their shares. If more investor embark on this strategy the market may gain stability and less likely to be affected by high frequent fluctuant prices.

On the other hand, another influential participant in the crypto community, Jelle, pointed out that although it remains above these support levels, BTC has not been able to return to the $60,000 region. However, the cryptocurrency is still quite solid despite certain instability in the market these days. Jelle also added that overtrading should be avoided several times when the economy is volatile.

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While Bitcoin is bobbing in and out of these waters, the market ever looks at whether it could cut above the existing bar by reaching the price target fixes by these experts. The next several weeks might become critical for BTC and the market could turn in a way which will set its further development for several years.

Bitcoin’s Next Big Leap: Analyst Predicts $173K Target

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In a recent X post, renowned analyst Egrag Crypto revealed a $173,000 price prediction for Bitcoin in the near future. To compare Bitcoin’s current bull cycle to the previous one, Egrag Crypto notes that the asset has followed a trajectory typical for the 2017 market.

In the opinion of the expert, Bitcoin is now in the framework of the fall, it is in the area near the Fibonacci 1.0 level is a crucial level; that marks the behavioral pattern of the 2017 phase known as Cycle B where he said that four months of sideways movement is normally followed by intense rush in the fifth month for Bitcoin. Currently, it is similarly formed, four months of trading at levels close to the previous all-time high.

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Egrag Crypto believes that BTC will maintain the process of fluctuating around the Fibonacci 1.0 level, practically halved attaining the level in June on a basis that suggests that the situation could explode over July. These conclusion phases are vital to him as a signal that a major break upward awaits the index.

Bitcoin’s Bullish Breakout On The Horizon

Moving forward, Egrag Crypto expects Bitcoin to get to about $173,000 by the end of this cycle in line with Fibonacci 1.618 level. Such a target illustrates that very large increases can be achieved in the near future, if only BTC adheres to trends similar to what was observed previously in other market cycles.

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This forecast contributes to the increasing enthusiasm among various users of cryptocurrencies because everyone is looking forward to the next step in the Bitcoin price action. With regard to its dynamics, the information provided by Egrag Crypto gives a rather interesting view of the future trend of Bitcoin in the following months.

The cryptocurrency market characterized by high fluctuation and shifts provides such predictions as hope and a challenge for the market. These analysts range from self-made to those who have obtained formal education in this field with the help of which they form investor expectations as well as strategies better to be used in the market by referencing historical data and current trends such as Egrag Crypto.

Since Bitcoin is still in the range of its consolidation, the focus will be made on its activity in the future months. Expectations of a breakout in July may attract more attention and investment into the digital currency pushing it towards the projected $173,000.

Thus, relying on past trends and the evaluation of the market situation, Egrag Crypto in its recent forecast claimed that Bitcoin may reach new extraordinary values. However, the coming months are crucial to Bitcoin and the crypto-sphere, to see if BTC can achieve such a goal independently and maintain a bullish trend.

Bitcoin’s Price Crossroads: Analysts Eye $61,000 to $59,000 Amid Bearish Signals

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Bitcoin (BTC) has re­cently exhibited indicators sugge­sting a possible decline in value­, prompting analysts to urge caution as they anticipate the­ cryptocurrency potentially falling to the $59,000 le­vel. This cautionary advice eme­rges amidst ongoing fluctuations in the crypto market, whe­re investors vigilantly track Bitcoin’s trajectory.

At the­ time of writing, Bitcoin’s curre­nt price stands at $63,448, accompanied by a substantial 24-hour trading volume of $164.53 billion and a marke­t capitalization of $1.25 trillion. Over the prece­ding day, BTC’s price has experie­nced a 4.10% decrease­.

BTC 1D graph coinmarketcap 18
Source: CoinMarketcap

Bitcoin’s Bearish Outlook: $61,000 to $59,000 Targets

Crypto analysts Ali Martinez and Rekt Capital have recently delved into the intricate web of Bitcoin’s price movements, shedding light on pivotal signals that could shape its trajectory. Martinez, in particular, underscored two crucial sell indicators discernible on Bitcoin’s 12-hour chart.

Firstly, Martinez flagged the emergence of a foreboding death cross pattern between the 50 and 100 Simple Moving Averages (SMA). This ominous crossover traditionally heralds a shift in market sentiment towards the bearish end of the spectrum, signaling potential storm clouds gathering on the horizon.

Secondly, Martinez pointed out the appearance of a conspicuous red 9 candlestick courtesy of the TD Sequential indicator. Such a sighting typically signifies potential exhaustion in the prevailing uptrend, akin to a weary traveler pausing for breath before embarking on a daunting journey ahead.

image 63

Considering the­ significant indicators, Martinez issued a cautious advisory: if Bitcoin’s price falls be­low the crucial $63,300 support level, inve­stors should prepare for potential downward move­ments. In such a scenario, the anticipate­d price targets could range from $61,000 to $59,000, marking pote­ntial vulnerable zones amid the­ volatile cryptocurrency trading market.

Re­kt Capital echoed similar concerns, noting that BTC has struggle­d to surpass the $65,600 resistance le­vel, failing to establish it as a solid support zone. Additionally, Re­kt Capital observed a recurring patte­rn where Bitcoin’s price has consiste­ntly faced rejections around the­ $60,600 mark over several we­eks, indicating a liquidity pool in that area.

image 63 2

Considering this, they proposed that if this downtrend continues, there is a chance we might see BTC returning back to this area of liquidity again. Such analysis highlights the need for watching important support and resistance zones as they can provide insights about where prices are headed over short periods of bitcoins.

Related Reading | Shiba Inu Exchange Reserves Hit 2-Year Low, What’s Next?

Bitcoin’s MACD Breaks Records: Anticipating a $24 Billion Surge

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The Bitcoin (BTC) market is buzzing with anticipation as a significant technical indicator, the Monthly Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD), has crossed the zero line. This development, highlighted by prominent cryptocurrency trader Dave the Wave, signals a potential entry into a bullish phase, prompting excitement among investors, enthusiasts, and analysts alike.

The MACD is a key tool for assessing the momentum and trend of an asset’s price. It calculates the relationship between two moving averages – typically the 12-day and 26-day exponential moving averages. When the MACD rises above the zero line, it is generally seen as a bullish sign, indicating a potential uptrend in the asset’s price.

Bitcoin’s recent MACD movement above this crucial threshold has historical significance. Such shifts have frequently preceded substantial price rallies, offering hope for those banking on a positive trend in the cryptocurrency’s value.

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MACD Predictions

Recent bullish predictions are fueling the optimism surrounding Bitcoin’s potential. Global asset management firm Bernstein has expressed confidence in Bitcoin’s price performance, projecting a substantial surge to $150,000 by mid-2025. This prediction would require an impressive 336% increase from Bitcoin’s current trading price of $34,400. The forecast is grounded in historical data that suggests Bitcoin’s price tends to stay above its marginal cost, indicating a potential price “floor.”

Matrixport Envisions Bitcoin’s $42,000 to $56,000 Potential

Matrixport, a crypto services provider, has also offered an optimistic outlook, suggesting that BTC’s price could range between $42,000 and $56,000 if BlackRock’s ETF gains approval. This prediction hinges on a potential influx of capital nearing $24 billion into the Bitcoin market. Furthermore, banking giant Standard Chartered has revised its end-2024 forecast for BTC, raising it to $120,000 from its previous prediction of $100,000. This upward revision underscores the growing confidence in the cryptocurrency market’s resilience and potential for sustained growth.

The convergence of positive signals from the MACD indicator and these optimistic forecasts paints a promising picture for Bitcoin’s future. However, it’s crucial to remember that cryptocurrency markets are inherently volatile, and price predictions can vary widely. Investors should approach this potential bullish phase with caution, conducting thorough research and risk assessments before making any investment decisions.

As the world’s premier cryptocurrency, Bitcoin’s price movements always attract significant attention. While the MACD crossing the zero line is indeed a noteworthy development, it’s essential to stay informed and monitor various indicators and factors that influence the cryptocurrency market to make informed investment choices in this exciting yet unpredictable space.

Bitcoin’s Bold Prophet Tim Draper Defies Gravity Again

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In the fast-paced world of cryptocurrency, few figures have garnered as much attention and speculation as the Bitcoin maverick, Tim Draper, the legendary venture capitalist and founder of Draper University. Draper’s track record speaks for itself – he bet big on companies like Tesla, SpaceX, and Coinbase, reaping massive returns. However, his notoriety in the crypto space largely stems from his bullish prediction that Bitcoin would hit $250,000 by 2022 – a prophecy that ultimately fell short.

But don’t count Draper out just yet. He’s not one to shy away from a challenge, and he firmly believes that his second prediction could still come to fruition. As he states,

“The only reason I’ve given the second prediction was that the first one was so good. I had a lot of pressure to put another one out there.”

Draper’s request for an extended deadline until the end of June next year hints at his enduring faith in Bitcoin. He lays the blame for the delayed ascent of Bitcoin squarely at the feet of the U.S. government, which he accuses of overregulation, hindering the blockchain’s growth. Draper yearns for a “light touch” approach similar to the way Bill Clinton handled the internet, allowing it to flourish globally.

Draper’s $250,000 Bitcoin Prediction: A High-Stakes Ultimatum

Despite the media circus surrounding him, Draper remains a diligent investor, approaching opportunities with an alpha mindset. He likens his investment style to playing basketball, strategizing each move to anticipate success.

Draper’s rise to Twitter fame, on the other hand, was a gradual process. With a humble start of just one follower (his mother), he has steadily grown his following through consistent and value-driven content. Unlike some influencers, he eschews overloading his followers with daily posts, preferring to share meaningful updates about his startups or insights on the crypto industry.

Draper’s predictions are a hot topic, and he stands by his $250,000 Bitcoin projection. However, he issues a playful ultimatum,

“If it’s not $250,000 or higher, then don’t listen to me ever again on that kind of prediction.”

Regarding the prospects of a Bitcoin ETF approval, Draper remains skeptical, suggesting it may require a change in political leadership. He laments the potential hindrance caused by the government’s cozy relationship with traditional banks and hopes for a more enlightened perspective on cryptocurrencies.

In a space known for its volatility and uncertainty, Tim Draper continues to be an enigmatic figure whose predictions, whether realized or not, captivate the imagination of investors and enthusiasts alike. As we watch and wait for the next chapter in the Bitcoin saga, one thing is clear – with Tim Draper, surprises are always on the horizon.

Bitcoin’s $150K Dream: Wild and Wacky Ride Ahead

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Bitcoin: In the world of cryptocurrencies, predicting the future is no easy task. Market enthusiasts, analysts, and experts are constantly trying to foresee what lies ahead for BTC and other digital assets. One such crypto enthusiast, known on Twitter as ‘The Bitcoin Therapist,’ offers an intriguing perspective on how the crypto sphere might unfold.

According to ‘The Bitcoin Therapist,’ the near future of BTC is poised to be a tad uneventful, as the cryptocurrency will seemingly “bore you for the next year.” This lull, he suggests, will provide a window for significant institutional players to step in, amass substantial positions, and ultimately assert their dominance in the markets. The catalyst for this development, he believes, could be the approval of a US spot ETF, which would open the doors for institutional investment.

Looking further ahead, it is predicted that 12 to 18 months after the halving event (a significant event in Bitcoin’s supply dynamics), new all-time highs (ATHs) will be reached. He warns that those who didn’t seize the opportunity to accumulate more Bitcoin during the quiet phase might come to regret their hesitation.

ETF Entry: Will Bitcoin’s Price Stay Stable?

With institutional money pouring in and a fresh wave of retail investors joining at the peak, the crypto space could witness a spectacular “blow off top.” This scenario may lead to some of the staunchest hodlers, who vowed never to sell, reconsidering their positions, while a few die-hard Bitcoiners remain steadfast.

Assuming institutional players do indeed enter the market through an ETF, it is believed that Bitcoin’s price will remain relatively stable, with a potential downside of less than 50% from the next ATH. However, he emphasizes that this is purely speculative and not financial advice.

However, the price prediction for BTC over the next two years tentatively sets a target of $150,000 for the cryptocurrency’s next all-time high. This prediction, he clarifies, is not based on his own technical analysis but is rather a rough estimate, taking into account BTC’s historical performance and the potential for exponential growth.

In conclusion, while no one can accurately predict the future of cryptocurrencies, ‘The Bitcoin Therapist’ provides an intriguing perspective on what the next few years might hold for BTC. Whether his crystal ball proves accurate or not, only time will tell, but one thing remains certain: the crypto world continues to be a captivating and unpredictable arena for investors and enthusiasts alike.