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You are here: Home / News / Bitcoin’s Halving Effect: A Promising Long-Term Investment
Bitcoin

Bitcoin’s Halving Effect: A Promising Long-Term Investment

April 18, 2024 by Arslan Tabish

A recent X post by Bitwse focused on financial effects of Bitcoin’s halving events that have become evident on a long-term basis, presenting an attractive picture for investors. Happening approximately once every four years, these halving events have in the past resulted in soaring price rises of the cryptocurrency, reflecting a trend of considerable financial growth after each cycle.

Historically, the Halving Has Been Good for Bitcoin’s Price Long-Term (a Look at the Data)

The change in bitcoin’s price in the year following the halving:

2012: 8,839%
2016: 285%
2020: 548%

The change in bitcoin’s price in the month following the halving:

2012: 9%
2016: -10%… pic.twitter.com/aaXSakLfko

— Bitwise (@BitwiseInvest) April 16, 2024

Unlocking Bitcoin’s Potential

According to a recent report, after the 2012 halving, the value of Bitcoin soared through the roof by 8,839% in the year. This pattern persisted through the following years, but with a diminishing speed, reflected in 285% rise after 2016 halving and 548% growth post-2020 halving. This is a trend that highlights an attractive profit opportunity for investors with a longer-term go.

The increment of BTC price in the month after the event in 2012 was just 9 percent. In contrast, 2016 had 10% down and 2020 just 6% up. This variability in short-term behavior indicates that the market does not always move in line with the halving-related more significant long-term gains.

This data highlights a significant aspect of Bitcoin’s market dynamics: though short-term changes that are dramatic and appear depressing, the long-term outlook is much brighter. The halving seems to play the role of a capacitor providing a supply of energy to be discharged later on, causing a sharp spike in Bitcoin’s value with a decrease in the supply of new BTC that lowers inflation and encourages the prices to rise.

The years after halving events are characterized by massive increases in the value of BTC, and this may be due to the lower number of BTC being produced, making existing coins more scarce. Such scarcity may cause the price to rise provided the demand for Bitcoin stays the same or increases.

With that, the data is still scarce and each halving event happens under specific broader economic conditions which could potentially affect the results. For example, world economic trends, regulatory shifts, and improvements in blockchain technology may heavily influence Bitcoin’s price direction after the halving.

In term of the observers of these trends – investors and enthusiasts, value of patience and orientation at long-term perspectives can be identified as the main lesson. The changing landscape of blockchain allows those who survive the short-term storms the opportunity to enjoy massive rewards, making Bitcoin a good long-term investment in the ever-fluctuating crypto market.

Filed Under: News, Bitcoin News Tagged With: Bitcoin, halving, Price Analysis

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