- Bitcoin’s supply on exchanges dropped to 7.53%, the lowest since 2018, reflecting strong long-term holding sentiment.
- Coinbase’s BTC volume dropped 10% to 12,500 BTC, reducing liquidity and increasing the risk of price volatility.
- BTC is trading at about $87,491, with RSI levels at 68 and MACD reflecting sustained bullish momentum.
Bitcoin’s ratio of supply on exchanges dropped to a historic low of 7.53%, the lowest level since February 20, 2018, as per sentiment data revealed on March 27, 2025. The sudden drop in the supply on exchanges indicates a shift in investor attitudes towards long holding and is bullish for the price action in Bitcoin.
The seven-year milestone of the lowest exchange supply ratio signals a maturing market. Investors appear more more in long-term gains than short-term fluctuations, this trend is reinforced by a 15% decrease in Bitcoin transactions on exchanges over the past month, as reported by CryptoQuant on March 25, 2025.
Coinbase’s Bitcoin trading volume drops 10%
Fewer available Bitcoins on the exchanges may cause higher price volatility because lower volumes may cause prices to fluctuate even more. The BTC/USD trading volume on Coinbase was approximately 12,500 BTC, down 10% from the month’s average of 13,800 BTC, reflecting lower market liquidity. The lower liquidity is carrying over to BTC/ETH trading pairs, with the volume down 8% from last month’s average of 5,430 BTC.
Bitcoin is currently trading at $87,491 today, up 0.22% from yesterday’s price on Tradingview. The reduced supply on exchanges reflects investor confidence in the long-run price of Bitcoin and therefore lower selling pressure and subsequent price appreciation.
Technical indicators and market Sentiment
Technical indicators reinforce the influence of decreased exchange supply on BTC’s market dynamics. Bitcoin’s Relative Strength Index (RSI) was 68 on March 27, 2025, meaning that the asset was approaching overbought levels. At the same time, the Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) had a bullish crossover, pointing toward sustained upward momentum.
However, the On-Balance Volume (OBV) of Bitcoin has been declining since March 20, and the volume is not following the price increase, and it can be a reversal sign. The Bitcoin Hash Ribbon, which is positive since March 15, shows that the miners continue to be profitable and are keeping the network secure and the markets stable.
As the supply on the exchanges decreases, short-selling pressure also decreases. The coins on exchanges are often stored in cold wallets, reflecting less inclination to trade. The decline in available supply for spot selling acts as a buffer against price drops. Lower exchange balances have in the past taken place during periods where the market is bullish.
Furthermore, the diminished supply in the exchange reflects increased interest from institutions. More BTC going into self-custody or the hands of institutions shows market players are regarding BTC as a long-term store of value and not a speculative asset alone. Such a shift in behavior promotes long-term stability and market sentiment.
Read More: Bitcoin (BTC) Holds Strong Above $86,500—Will Bulls Break $90K Next?